Forecast of the COVID-19 epidemic spread in Italy


Luigi Brugnano  and  Felice Iavernaro

Based on the data available from the Protezione Civile, which are daily updated (solid line with plus symbols: prediction; circles: observed data) by using:
The lines are colored blue, red, cyan, and green, respectively, whereas the black one is the cumulative (national) one. The peak is marked only for the cumulative one (colored in black) but, as one may see, in each macro-region a different peak may occur.





































































a forecast including the total cases can be found here


Disclaimer. Thanks to Arcangelo Labianca and Matteo Marulli for collecting and sharing data